I haven't put any serious thought into error bars, so I think the 1/4 and 1/3 and 2/5th breakdown is probably a close enough approximation to the actual values and simple enough to be remembered.
Now the problem is explaining why it should be those numbers, and how they would change with variants on the Showdown, such as the one you outlined where there were only two possible 'spins', or where there were four contestants, or the like.
![[personal profile]](https://www.dreamwidth.org/img/silk/identity/user.png)
rosecarmine
(no subject)
Date: 2010-01-15 05:16 am (UTC)I haven't put any serious thought into error bars, so I think the 1/4 and 1/3 and 2/5th breakdown is probably a close enough approximation to the actual values and simple enough to be remembered.
Now the problem is explaining why it should be those numbers, and how they would change with variants on the Showdown, such as the one you outlined where there were only two possible 'spins', or where there were four contestants, or the like.